EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP BEFORE COVID-19 IN RS: AN ANALYSIS OF CAUSAL EFFECT AND REGRESSION
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18226/23190639.v9n3.05Keywords:
COVID-19, Empregabilidade, Economia RS, Análise correlacional, Causal ImpactAbstract
The global economy suffered a great impact due to the pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Developed, developing, and undeveloped economies all felt the economic impact in various sectors, and in the state of Rio Grande do Sul (RS) it was no different. As an inseparable part of the economy, employment was also affected. In all, the state of Rio Grande do Sul lost about 86,000 formal jobs since the beginning of the pandemic, that is, in the period between March and September 2020, the state ranked fourth in the number of jobs lost in the country. Thus, the objective of this study is to analyze the impact of the pandemic on formal jobs in the state of Rio Grande do Sul. To this end, a relational and causal impact analysis was performed on economic and employment indicators of the state of Rio Grande do Sul during the months of March to September 2020, in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. The results show that there is no relationship of covid-19 cases number of infected, with admissions and layoffs, however relationship with economic performance. It was observed that more economically active regions had greater impacts with respect to covid-19 cases. However, the research showed that the effects of covid-19 on layoffs and admissions are not significant, despite the significance being related to both social inequality and the GDP of each of the COREDEs studied.
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